College basketball betting has become one of the most popular sports to wager upon in North America. Whether you are in the United States or elsewhere, chances are you’ve attempted to make a profit off of the March Madness Tournament held annually to determine the National Champion. For the regular handicapper who uses bookie software systems to pick winners in the NCAAB, you may have used a handful of different betting systems. Today, we’ll be looking at one of the oldest college basketball systems that have brought both casual and more experienced handicappers much success.
The premise of the system requires that we simply take an unranked team that is a favorite over a ranked team. In the NCAA, the rankings are based on the AP 25 poll, which takes the votes of writers and media into account, when determining who the top teams in the country are. Depending on whom you speak with, the AP 25 often has teams that do not deserve to be ranked in their rankings, while others that do deserve an NBA ranking are disregarded.
Under the system’s premise of taking unranked favorites over ranked opponents, it suggests, that the creator of the system, realized that not all good teams are necessarily ranked. In a two year window, from 2006 to 2008, the system was a successful 50 – 28. Unlike many systems for college basketball, this system actually makes sense, as you are taking a favorite because they have talent on their roster and not because the ranked team can cover a spread. In other words, many unranked favorites, will have good records against the spread. Meanwhile, the ranked underdogs will be terrible against the spread. As a result, the bookies may favorite the unranked team, because they are better then their AP ranking.
